DELPHI FORECASTS OF LAND USE: TRANSPORTATION INTERACTIONS

The Delphi method is used to predict the impacts of three alternative transportation programs in San Jose, California. Variables projected concern both land use (e.g., number of single-family housing units) and choice of transit mode. Forecasts are made for 1990 and 2000 for four spatial zones within San Jose. Delphi panelists are individuals familiar with land use and transportation issues in the San Jose area. A preliminary questionnaire survey is used to set general economic conditions and land use policies that serve as a context for specific forecasts of land use-transportation interactions. Strengths and weaknesses of the Delphi method in forecasting land use are assessed.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/8674831
• Corporate Authors:

  American Society of Civil Engineers

  345 East 47th Street
  New York, NY  United States  10017-2398
• Authors:
  • Cavalli-Sforza, V
  • Ortolano, L
• Publication Date: 1984-5

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 324-339
• Serial:
  • Journal of Transportation Engineering
  • Volume: 110
  • Issue Number: 3
  • Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
  • ISSN: 0733-947X
  • Serial URL: https://ascelibrary.org/journal/jtepbs

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: City planning; Delphi method; Development; Forecasting; Land use; Regional planning; Residential areas; Technological forecasting; Transportation; Transportation planning; Urban transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Residential development
• Geographic Terms: California
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I10: Economics and Administration;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00389786
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Engineering Index
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 30 1984 12:00AM