A TRANSIT RIDERSHIP - REVENUE MODEL

The paper outlines the theoretical underpinnings of an urban mass transit revenue and ridership model designed to provide medium term forecasts of future trends in situations of data sparsity. The specific example laid out in the paper relates to the greater Vancouver regional district but the framework is of general applicability. Much of the informational input at the initial stage is of a general kind and details of the specific transit system and local area are of the sort which should be readily available to most urban authorities. The model developed is designed for use on a desk-top micro-computer and offers an inter-active method of forecasting. The operator has the facility to both consider fare policy sensitivity and review alternative scenarios about future trends in exogenous factors. A selection of forecasts developed for the gvrd is provided to reveal the main features of the approach.(a)

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/1767712
• Corporate Authors:

  GORDON AND BREACH SCIENCE PUB.

  AMSTERDAM:
  ,    
• Authors:
  • Navin, FPD
  • BUTTON, K J
• Publication Date: 1984

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 47-60
• Serial:
  • Transportation Planning and Technology
  • Volume: 9
  • Issue Number: 1
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis
  • ISSN: 0308-1060
  • Serial URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/toc/gtpt20/current

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Data collection; Demand; Economic factors; Economics; Elasticity (Economics); Fares; Forecasting; Income; Mathematical models; Microcomputers; Public transit; Revenues; Ridership; Tariffs; Transportation; Travel demand; Travel time; Trip length; Urban areas
• Uncontrolled Terms: Use
• Geographic Terms: Canada; Vancouver (Canada)
• ITRD Terms: 8018: Canada; 285: Demand (econ); 263: Economics of transport; 132: Forecast; 256: Income; 697: Journey time; 6473: Mathematical model; 744: Public transport; 241: Tariff; 313: Urban area; 9084: Use
• Subject Areas: Economics; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00389338
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• Report/Paper Numbers: ANALYTIC
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 30 1984 12:00AM