EFFECT OF SMALL CARS ON TRAFFIC SAFETY PROJECTIONS

The effect of downsizing cars on traffic deaths becomes noticeable only over time, because new cars are only a small part of the car population. Factors needed to model the trend in traffic deaths are identified. The structure of two models to project trends in car occupant fatality risks is described. Illustrative projections of the car occupant fatality risk are presented. Research needed for improving projections is discussed.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Government/Industry Meeting and Exposition, Washington, D.C. May 21-24, 1984.
• Corporate Authors:

  Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE)

  400 Commonwealth Drive
  Warrendale, PA  United States  15096
• Authors:
  • Joksch, H C
• Publication Date: 1984

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References;
• Pagination: 9 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Compact automobiles; Fatalities; Forecasting; Hazards; Risk assessment; Traffic safety; Trend (Statistics)
• Old TRIS Terms: Small car
• Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I81: Accident Statistics;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00393633
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
• Report/Paper Numbers: HS-037 540
• Files: HSL, TRIS, USDOT
• Created Date: Apr 29 1985 12:00AM