CAR OWNERSHIP AND CAR USAGE; DIRECTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH

AUTOBEZIT EN AUTOGEBRUIK; RICHTINGEN VOOR VERDER ONDERZOEK

Car ownership is known to be one of the most important determinants of mobility. Consequently much research has been carried out to analyse the complex relationships which lead to car ownership and car usage, and to develop forecasting models. However, recent experience has shown that these models cannot accurately predict changes in car ownership and car usage in situations when real incomes are lowering and the real costs of car usage are rising. Further research is needed to develop models which incorporate the dynamics of choice behaviour. Two possible directions of research are indicated, which are panel analysis and stated preference analysis. Panel analysis can be successfully used to develop models based on observed behaviour, while stated preference analysis can be used to explore future choice behaviour under changing conditions. The insights obtained in both types of research will improve our understanding of the relationships determining car ownership and car usage, and will enable us to forecast future levels of car ownership and car usage more accurately. (Author/TRRL)

• Corporate Authors:

  Netherlands Institute of Transport

  Polakweg 13
  2288 GG Rijswijk,   Netherlands 
• Authors:
  • Kroes, E P
  • Jetten, J
• Publication Date: 1983

Language

• Dutch

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 371-376
• Serial:
  • TIJDSCHRIFT VOOR VERVOERSWETENSCHAP
  • Volume: 19
  • Issue Number: 4

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Behavior; Demographics; Forecasting; Income; Methodology; Mobility; Mode choice; Motor vehicles; Ownership; Population; Work trips
• ITRD Terms: 9001: Behaviour; 132: Forecast; 256: Income; 621: Journey to work; 9102: Method; 9105: Mobility (pers); 335: Population; 315: Vehicle ownership
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I10: Economics and Administration; I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00386196
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Jul 30 1984 12:00AM