HOME-ORIGIN TRANSIT TRAVEL ANALYSIS MODEL

The major findings of a bus patronage forecasting project to develop a simple short-range planning model for bus transit demand analysis in Albuquerque, New Mexico, are presented. The model would be typically applied by an analyst lacking specialized mathematical expertise by using commonly available data to analyze the ridership impacts of proposed transit service changes. Analysis of the information needs of Albuquerque officials and of the ridership patterns of Albuquerque Sun Tran users revealed that a focus on residential service requirements should have the highest analytic priority. In response to this need, a linear home-origin transit generation model was developed that could be manually applied to predict ridership response to service changes. The model is sensitive to a wide range of service, policy, socioeconomic, and land use factors. Validation studies on the model indicate that the model prediction are quite accurate. The technique should be transferable to other urban areas, especially rapidly growing multicentered sunbelt cities lacking the radial structure and dominant core of older American cities.

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1983/915/915-005.pdf
• Record URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=HOME-ORIGIN+TRANSIT+TRAVEL+ANALYSIS+MODEL&author=D.+Nelson&author=K.+O%27Neil&publication_year=1983
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309035589
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Bus Transit Systems. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Authors:
  • Nelson, David O
  • O'Neil, Katherine K
• Publication Date: 1983

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; Maps; References;
• Pagination: pp 24-30
• Monograph Title: Urban buses: planning and operations
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 915
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Bus transit; Forecasting; Households; Land use; Mathematical models; Residential areas; Ridership; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: New Mexico
• Old TRIS Terms: Bus services
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00382307
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309035589
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Apr 30 1984 12:00AM