TRANSOCEANIC CARGO STUDY. FORECASTING MODEL AND DATA BASE. VOLUME I

This is the first of three volumes presenting the results of the Transoceanic Cargo Study. It presents the three methodologies used for effecting the forecasts: exponential smoothing and trend extrapolation, functional forecasting, and share-of-the-market forecasting. The establishment of the trade histories and histories of the appropriate explanatory variable are described. Updating procedures are established. Forecast results of Transport Homogeneous Groups are presented. Special "trades" (the assistance programs of Food for Peace, AID and Military Assistance programs, Hawaii, Alaska, Puerto Rico, and logistics support of U.S. forces abroad) are treated in terms of establishment of histories, development of forecasting or assessment techniques, and documentation of forecasts where applicable.

• Corporate Authors:

  Planning Research Corporation

  1100 Glendon Avenue
  Los Angeles, CA  United States  90024
• Publication Date: 1971-3

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 555 p.
• Serial:
  • Volume: 1

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Commodities; Economic forecasting; Forecasting; Foreign; Freight transportation; International; International trade; Planning; Statistics; Trade; Transportation planning
• Old TRIS Terms: Commodity statistics; Trade forecasts; Transoceanic cargo transportation
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Data and Information Technology; Economics; Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00019565
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Planning Research Corporation
• Report/Paper Numbers: T8-498 Final Rpt
• Contract Numbers: DOT-OS-A9-024
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Nov 25 1974 12:00AM