AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY TRENDS-UPDATE FOR TCSM-11

A model called the Technology/Cost Segment Model (TCSM) was developed for the DOE to track technological innovations and manufacturer plans to introduce such innovations to improve fuel economy. The TCSM serves as an accounting structure that utilizes discrete technology improvements to automobiles to calculate the net fleet fuel economy. In order to gauge the effect of the new developments on fuel economy, data on the disscrete technologies such as the data of availability, fuel economy gains, engineering constraints and new data were entered into the TCSM. The new data are described in four categories: new technology concepts/developments, revised manufacturer product plans, technology in market penetration for diesels, and size class mix shift. Data size class mix shift is accounted for exogenously. Fuel economy results obtained from a sample run are provided to provide a quantification of the extent of change in fuel demand as a result of the data modifications from previous forecasts. (ERA citation 09:006093)

• Corporate Authors:

  Energy and Environmental Analysis, Incorporated

  1111 North 19th Street
  Arlington, VA  United States  22209
• Publication Date: 1982-9

Media Info

• Pagination: 31 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automotive engineering; Forecasting; Fuel consumption; Mathematical models; Technological innovations; Trend (Statistics); Vehicle size
• Subject Areas: Energy; Highways; Vehicles and Equipment; I96: Vehicle Operating Costs;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00385762
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: DOE/PE/70045-T16
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 28 1984 12:00AM