Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of COVID-19 in the Northern Italy during the first-wave scenario: The role of the highway network
The rapid outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has posed several challenges to the scientific community. The goal of this paper is to investigate the spread of COVID-19 in Northern Italy during the so-called first wave scenario and to provide a qualitative comparison with the local highway net. Fixed a grid of days from February 27, 2020, the cumulative numbers of infections in each considered province have been compared to sequences of thresholds. As a consequence, a time-evolving classification of the state of danger in terms of Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections, in view of the smallest threshold overtaken by this comparison, has been obtained for each considered province. The provinces with a significant amount of cases have then been collected into matrices containing only the ones featuring a significant amount of cases. The time evolution of the classification has then been qualitatively compared to the highway network, to identify similarities and thus linking the rapid spreading of COVID-19 and the highway connections. The obtained results demonstrate how the proposed model properly fits with the spread of COVID-19 along with the Italian highway transport network and could be implemented to analyze qualitatively other disease transmissions in different contexts and time periods.
- Record URL:
- Record URL:
-
Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/25901982
-
Supplemental Notes:
- © 2022 Marco De Angelis, et al. Published by Elsevier Ltd. Abstract reprinted with permission of Elsevier.
-
Authors:
- De Angelis, Marco
- Durastanti, Claudio
- Giovannoni, Matteo
- Moretti, Laura
- Publication Date: 2022-9
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Web
- Features: References;
- Pagination: 100646
-
Serial:
- Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
- Volume: 15
- Issue Number: 0
- Publisher: Elsevier
- ISSN: 2590-1982
- Serial URL: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/transportation-research-interdisciplinary-perspectives
-
Publication flags:
Open Access (libre)
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Communicable diseases; COVID-19; Epidemiology; Highway transportation; Public health; Travel behavior
- Geographic Terms: Italy
- Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Society;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01851788
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Jul 18 2022 4:50PM