A Hierarchical Passenger Mobility Prediction Model Applicable to Large Crowding Events

Predicting individual mobility of subway passengers in large crowding events is crucial for subway safety management and crowd control. However, most previous models focused on individual mobility prediction under ordinary conditions. Here, the authors develop a passenger mobility prediction model, which is also applicable to large crowding events. The developed model includes the trip-making prediction part and the trip attribute prediction part. For trip-making prediction, the authors develop a regularized logistic regression model that employs the proposed individual and cumulative mobility features, the number of potential trips, and the trip generation index. For trip attribute prediction, the authors develop an n-gram model incorporating a new feature, the trip attraction index, for each cluster of subway passengers. The incorporation of the three new features and the clustering of passengers considerably improves the accuracy of passenger mobility prediction, especially in large crowding events.

Language

  • English

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  • Accession Number: 01849265
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jun 23 2022 9:16AM