QUALITY OF PREDICTION: A CRITIQUE OF BRONNER

In this comment on Bronner's article "Decision Style in Transport Mode Choice" two problems are discussed. The first and minor one deals with the choice of criterion in the model tests for the quality of prediction. The second and major problem concerns the invalidity of the model tests, which is due to the psychometrically incorrect classification procedure adopted by Bronner. This issue is extensively discussed because some of Bronner's conclusions can be shown to evolve from his incorrect assignment procedure. As an alternative method of attitude assignment the use of a matching constant is suggested. In order to evaluate predictive quality of models, it is recommended to consider mode choice as the criterion variable instead of attitudes within travel mode categories. (Author/TRRL)

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/01674870
• Corporate Authors:

  North-Holland Publishing Company

  Jan Van Galenstraat 335
  1000 AE Amsterdam,   Netherlands 
• Authors:
  • Van Knippenberg-den Brink, C W
  • Michon, J A
  • van Knippenberg, A
• Publication Date: 1982

Media Info

• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 103-108
• Serial:
  • JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY
  • Issue Number: 2
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 0167-4870

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Attitudes; Behavior; Decision making; Forecasting; Improvements; Mathematical models; Mobility; Mode choice; Psychological aspects; Psychology; Research reports; Transportation modes
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models; Selection
• Old TRIS Terms: Modal selection
• ITRD Terms: 9001: Behaviour; 2248: Decision process; 132: Forecast; 9108: Improvement; 9105: Mobility (pers); 2255: Psychology; 8559: Research report; 9072: Selection; 1145: Transport mode
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Safety and Human Factors; I71: Traffic Theory;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00379237
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Jan 30 1984 12:00AM