BASELINE PROJECTIONS OF TRANSPORTATION ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY MODE: 1981 UPDATE

A comprehensive set of activity and energy-demand projections for each of the major transportation modes and submodes is presented. Projections are developed for a business-as-usual scenario, which provides a benchmark for assessing the effects of potential conservation strategies. This baseline scenario assumes a continuation of present trends, including fuel-efficiency improvements likely to result from current efforts of vehicle manufacturers. Because of anticipated changes in fuel efficiency, fuel price, modal shifts, and a lower-than-historic rate of economic growth, projected growth rates in transportation activity and energy consumption depart from historic patterns. The text discusses the factors responsible for this departure, documents the assumptions and methodologies used to develop the modal projections, and compares the projections with other efforts.

• Corporate Authors:

  Argonne National Laboratory

  9700 South Cass Avenue
  Argonne, IL  United States  60439
• Authors:
  • Millar, M
  • Bunch, J
  • Vyas, A
  • Kaplan, M F
  • Knorr, R
• Publication Date: 1982-4

Media Info

• Pagination: 175 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Buses; Economic efficiency; Energy consumption; Fuel conservation; Vans; Vehicles
• Uncontrolled Terms: Efficiency
• Subject Areas: Economics; Energy; Public Transportation; Vehicles and Equipment;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00377792
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: ANL/CNSV-28
• Contract Numbers: W-31-109-ENG-38
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 30 1983 12:00AM