Urban mobility scenarios until the 2030s

Urban mobility is particularly affected by technology development. This research focuses on the mobility system of cities in the foreseeable future – that is, until the 2030s. A systematic literature review (SLR) of 62 scientific documents and 52 scenarios predicted and developed by researchers are presented here, providing a comprehensive picture of current urban transport research perspectives. Based on a complex method built for this review, four scenarios (‘Grumpy old transport’, ‘At an easy pace’, ‘Mine is yours’, and ‘Tech-eager mobility’) have been created, each forecasting a different path towards future urban mobility. The scenarios so formed describe the expected role and potential of emerging mobility solutions (namely autonomous vehicles, shared mobility, and electrification) and include socio-economic and environmental perspectives. By 2030, most likely pathways are the ‘At an easy pace’ or the ‘Mine is yours’ scenarios, which means that only an incremental advance, such as a slow shift towards self-driving, electric and shared vehicle use is predicted.

• Record URL:
  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.103029
• Record URL:
  http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670721003139
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/22106707
• Supplemental Notes:
  • © 2021 Márk Miskolczi et al.
• Authors:
  • Miskolczi, Márk
  • Földes, Dávid
  • Munkácsy, András
  • Jászberényi, Melinda
• Publication Date: 2021-9

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Serial:
  • Sustainable Cities and Society
  • Volume: 72
  • Issue Number: 0
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 2210-6707
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/22106707?sdc=2

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automation; Autonomous vehicles; Electric vehicles; Forecasting; Future; Literature reviews; Mobility; Shared mobility; Urban transportation
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01775711
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 30 2021 12:01PM