A PURE PROBABILISTIC MODEL OF TRIP TOURS BY AUTOMOBILE

A mathematical model of automobile trip tours is presented. Within a framework of eight common restrictions on automobile trip making, all travel behaviour is assumed at random and all of the ways in which tours can be arranged are assumed equally likely. Three probability distributions are derived from the model: (1) the probability that a household makes a given number of tours in a day; (2) the probability that a household makes a given number of trips in a day; and (3) the probability that a tour reaches a given number of destinations. It is shown that the model agrees with similar probability distributions generated from home-interview data for Milwaukee. (Author/TRRL)

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/1767712
• Corporate Authors:

  GORDON AND BREACH SCIENCE PUB.

  AMSTERDAM:
  ,    
• Authors:
  • Horowitz, A J
• Publication Date: 1982-4

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 99-108
• Serial:
  • Transportation Planning and Technology
  • Volume: 7
  • Issue Number: 2
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis
  • ISSN: 0308-1060
  • Serial URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/toc/gtpt20/current

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobiles; Households; Interviewing; Mathematical models; Numbers; Origin and destination; Physical distribution; Probability; Travel; Travel behavior
• Uncontrolled Terms: Probabilistic analysis; Trip
• Geographic Terms: United States
• ITRD Terms: 1243: Car; 9016: Distribution (gen); 309: Household; 698: Journey; 6473: Mathematical model; 6432: Number; 687: Origin destination traffic; 6534: Probability; 8122: USA
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Freight Transportation; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00367239
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Nov 30 1982 12:00AM