THE PERTH (TRANSPORT) 2000 FORECASTING MODEL - A SENSIBLE HYBRID

A set of forecasting tools is being developed in Perth for use, initially, at a strategic level. The paper concentrates on the main features of the model package. These include a market segmentation approach which allows integration of disaggregate car ownership and trip frequency models into an aggregate model framework. Trip makers are separated into "choice" and "captive" travellers which, together with a multi-level logit mode choice model, should reduce specification errors. During the development stages particular attention was placed on the model's predictive sensibility (a). The number of the covering abstract of the forum is TRIS no 367004. (TRRL)

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03136655
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Paper presented at the 7th Australian Transport Research Forum, 17-19 March 1982, Hobart, Forum Papers, Volume 2.
• Corporate Authors:

  Tasmania Transport Commission

  1 Collins Street
  Hobart, Tasmania,   Australia 
• Authors:
  • WILDERMUTH, H K
• Publication Date: 1982

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 477-504
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Tasmania Transport Commission
  • Publisher: Tasmania Transport Commission
  • ISSN: 0313-6655

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Conferences; Disaggregate analysis; Forecasting; Frequency (Electromagnetism); Logits; Mathematical models; Motor vehicles; Ownership; Planning; Transportation; Transportation modes; Transportation planning; Travel; Urban transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Selection; Transportation models; Trip
• Geographic Terms: Australia
• Old TRIS Terms: Disaggregate models
• ITRD Terms: 8006: Australia; 8525: Conference; 132: Forecast; 6997: Frequency; 698: Journey; 6473: Mathematical model; 143: Planning; 9072: Selection; 1145: Transport mode; 315: Vehicle ownership
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00367019
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: ARRB
• Files: ITRD, TRIS, ATRI
• Created Date: Sep 30 1982 12:00AM