IMPROVED DEMAND ESTIMATION FOR RURAL WORK TRIPS

A critical review of the most widely accepted rural demand estimation models is performed. Based on data collected in two rural towns, a disaggregate specification for rural work-trip modal choice is proposed. The new model includes a set of socioeconomic and a set of policy-relevant variables and can be used for implementing a wide range of transportation policies to improve rural transit system performance. Model variables produce coefficients consistent with the notion, recently found in the literature, that rural commuters are more sensitive to fiscal variables than are urban commuters. Results from comparison tests suggest that demand prediction with the proposed specification is significantly (up to 88 percent) better than with the best of the existing models. (Author)

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1982/842/842-003.pdf
• Summary URL:
  • http://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=IMPROVED+DEMAND+ESTIMATION+FOR+RURAL+WORK+TRIPS&author=Y.+Stephanedes&publication_year=1982
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03611981
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Transportation Planning Needs and Requirements of Small and Medium-Sized Communities. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Stephanedes, Yorgos J
• Conference:
  • 61st Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia, United States
  • Date: 1982-1-18 to 1982-1-22
• Publication Date: 1982

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 10-16
• Monograph Title: Transportation planning analysis used in small and medium-sized communities
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 842
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Accuracy; Disaggregate analysis; Estimating; Mathematical models; Mode choice; Rural areas; Socioeconomic factors; Transportation policy; Travel demand; Variables; Work trips
• Old TRIS Terms: Disaggregate models; Modal selection
• Subject Areas: Economics; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00366750
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309033195
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Nov 30 1982 12:00AM