AIRLINE CARGO DEMAND

The prime threats to the industry were felt to be fuel shortages, increased operating costs, depressed demand resulting from economic recession, competition arising from trucking deregulation, and possible constraints on international traffic. Opportunities include modal expansion made possible by truck and rail deregulation, Third World economic expansion, and high inflation notes causing more commodities to cross the threshold of desirability for movement by air freight. The consensus was that domestic and international air freight would grow at rates of 5.5 and 6 percent, respectively, over the next decade. Three research needs were identified: to better define air freight markets, by isolating discrete components that create demand for movement by air, to develop new forecasting methods encompassing factors not quantifiable, and to find ways to identify aircraft characteristics and specifications needed by the airline industry to meet the needs of the next ten to twenty years.

• Record URL:
  https://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trcircular/230/230-004.pdf
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00978515
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Report of a Workshop sponsored by the Committee on Aviation Demand Forecasting of the Transportation Research Board, held at the National Academy of Sciences, Washington D.C., March 26-27, 1981. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

  500 Fifth Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Creswell, D C
• Publication Date: 1981-8

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Pagination: p. 5-6
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Circular
  • Issue Number: 230
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0097-8515

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air transportation; Conferences; Demand; Economic forecasting; Equipment; Freight transportation; Fuels; International trade; Operating costs; Trend (Statistics)
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Economics; Energy; Freight Transportation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I10: Economics and Administration;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00342088
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Dec 22 1981 12:00AM