The application of the CO₂MPAS model for vehicle CO₂ emissions estimation over real traffic conditions

A vehicle simulation model, CO₂MPAS supports the introduction of the new WLTP-based certification system for CO₂ emissions in Europe. This paper investigates the possibility to use the underlying simulation methodology to accurately calculate CO₂ emissions over real-world trips, thus to extend the use of the methodology beyond vehicle certification. As a reference, the analysis used measurement data obtained from four vehicles over two different routes under real-world driving conditions. The CO₂ emissions were measured using portable emissions measurement systems. The formal CO₂MPAS methodology and two modified versions of it that require a reduced number of input data were assessed about their capacity to predict the measured CO₂ emissions. The analysis focused on the accuracy and uncertainty of the three different methodology configurations. As an additional benchmark, the analysis considered the CO₂ emissions estimates obtained from the EMEP/EEA Guidebook methodology used for emissions inventorying in Europe. Results show that the basic CO₂MPAS configuration demonstrates good performance in predicting CO₂ emissions over on-road tests, reaching a prediction accuracy over an entire test trip of −0,3% and a standard deviation of 3,1%. The modified versions showed slightly higher biases up to 3% and uncertainties (5–7%), but remaining within reasonable limits considering the reduced number of inputs used in each case. Given its ability to predict CO₂ emissions accurately on a local base, CO₂MPAS could be used for the prediction of instantaneous CO₂ emissions in traffic micro-simulation exercises.

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  • English

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  • Accession Number: 01734553
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Mar 24 2020 10:49AM