PROJECTIONS OF DIRECT ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY MODE: 1975-2000 BASELINE

This report presents a comprehensive set of activity and energy-demand projections for each of the major transportation modes and submodes. Projections are developed for a business-as-usual case which provides a benchmark for assessing the impact of potential conservation strategies. This baseline case assumes a continuation of present trends and no new energy-conserving programs beyond currently mandated fuel economy standards. However, because of anticipated changes in personal vehicle fuel economy, fuel prices, modal shifts, and a lower than historic rate of economic growth, projected growth rates in transportation activity and energy consumption depart from historic patterns. The text discusses the factors responsible for this departure, documents the assumptions and methodologies used to develop the modal projections, and compares the projections with other efforts. (ERA citation 05:001201)

• Corporate Authors:

  Argonne National Laboratory

  9700 South Cass Avenue
  Argonne, IL  United States  60439
• Authors:
  • Knorr, R E
  • Millar, M
• Publication Date: 1979-8

Media Info

• Pagination: 139 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Competition; Demand; Energy conservation; Energy consumption; Forecasting; Fuel consumption; Long range planning; Modal split; Mode S; Prices; Standards; Transportation modes
• Uncontrolled Terms: Long term
• Old TRIS Terms: Strategy
• Subject Areas: Energy; Environment; Highways; Railroads; Vehicles and Equipment; I96: Vehicle Operating Costs;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00317687
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Contract Numbers: W-31-109-ENG-38
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jul 22 1980 12:00AM