Train timetable design under elastic passenger demand

A passenger centric timetable is such a timetable that the satisfaction of the passengers is maximized. However, these timetables only maximize the probability of a passenger to take the train, but provide no insight on the actual choices of the passengers. Therefore, in this manuscript the authors replace the deterministic passenger satisfaction function with a probabilistic demand forecasting model inside of the passenger centric train timetable design. The actual forecasts lead to a realistic train occupation. Knowing the train occupation, the authors can estimate the revenue and to use pricing as a mobility management to further improve the level-of-service. The authors use a logit model that they calibrate to reflect the known demand elasticities. The authors further include a competing operator as an opt-out option for the passengers. Subsequently, the authors integrate the passenger centric train timetabling problem with a ticket pricing problem. The authors solve the elastic passenger centric train timetabling problem for various types of timetables using a simulated annealing heuristic on a case study of Israeli Railways. The results of the authors' case study show that the generated revenues can be increased by up to 15% when taking into account the passengers’ behavior along with a specific pricing scheme. This study further confirms the advantages of hybrid cyclicity.

Language

  • English

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  • Accession Number: 01670124
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: May 23 2018 11:42AM