FORECASTING THE DEMAND FOR FREIGHT TRANSPORT IN CANADA: A TIME SERIES APPROACH

This paper reports on work done by the Research Branch between November 1977 and April 1978, to forecast the demand for freight transport in Canada. The approach taken relies on time series analysis, and is intended to complement previous econometric work in the area. As the present study was envisaged as a methodological exploration to illustrate the strengths and limitations of time series analysis, it was decided to deal with only three groups of commodities: coal, newsprint, and chemicals and chemical products. These commodity groups were chosen in consultation with officials from Transport Canada. Individual chapters deal specifically with the movement of these commodities by rail and ship to and from the U.S. as well as by ship from Canada to various overseas destinations.

• Corporate Authors:

  Canadian Transport Commission

  Economic and Social Analysis Branch, 275 Slater Street
  Ottawa, ONo K1A ON9,   Canada 
• Authors:
  • Cairs, M
  • Lee, R
  • Hariton, G
• Publication Date: 1978-6

Media Info

• Pagination: 196 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Chemicals; Coal; Coal industry; Commodities; Economic forecasting; Exports; Forecasting; Freight traffic; Freight transportation; Imports; Mathematical models; Rates; Shipping; Statistics; Trade
• Uncontrolled Terms: Cargo flow; Freight rates
• Geographic Terms: Canada
• Old TRIS Terms: Chemical cargo; Commodity statistics; Shipping forecasts; Trade forecasts; Traffic analysis (Freight)
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Data and Information Technology; Economics; Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00311602
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: No. 10-78-21
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 9 1980 12:00AM