Econometric Analysis of Subway User Mode Choice in Response to Unplanned Subway Disruptions

The purpose of this study was to investigate transit user mode choice in response to rapid transit service disruptions in the City of Toronto in Canada. A multinomial logit model was developed using a joint revealed-preference and stated-preference survey of subway users in Toronto. The survey gathered information on the respondent’s mode choice in response to the most recent subway disruption encountered and to a set of hypothetical disruption scenarios. In addition to travel time and cost, other factors that were found to be statistically significant in the subway user’s mode choice at 95% confidence include the trip purpose, length of subway delay, length of shuttle bus delay, weather, age, income, and whether the respondent is a frequent or occasional subway user. Based on the study findings, the paper concludes with policy implications and recommendations for improved response strategies.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP010 Standing Committee on Transit Management and Performance.
• Authors:
  • Lin, Teddy
  • Srikukenthiran, Siva
  • Miller, Eric J
  • Shalaby, Amer
• Conference:
  • Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting
  • Location: Washington DC, United States
  • Date: 2018-1-7 to 2018-1-11
• Date: 2018

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; Maps; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 9p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Econometrics; Mode choice; Passengers; Service disruption; Subways
• Geographic Terms: Toronto (Canada)
• Subject Areas: Passenger Transportation; Public Transportation; Railroads;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01663688
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: 18-06096
• Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
• Created Date: Mar 22 2018 11:57AM