Prediction Modelling and its Advantages in Comparison with the Existing Method of Identification of Accident Localities

Predikcni modelovani a jeho vyhody oproti stavajici metode identifikace nehodovych lokalit

Nowadays, the methodology for the identification of hazardous road localities developed by Transport Research Centre (Czech Republic) in 2001 is based on the determination of a limit for the number of accidents when a locality is identified as accident locality. This methodology does not take into account the influence of random variation. Therefore, identified locations are not stable in time, although there were no changes in the infrastructure. In order to improve the identification procedures, a new methodology based on prediction modelling was developed by Transport Research Centre (Czech Republic) in 2012. This paper compares the time stability of locations identified by both mentioned methods.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03227154
• Authors:
  • Valentova, Veronika
  • Ambros, Jiri
  • Janoska, Z
  • STRIEGLER, R
• Publication Date: 2013-11

Language

• English
• Czech

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 290-293
• Serial:
  • Road Review (Silnicni obzor)
  • Volume: 74
  • Issue Number: 11
  • Publisher: Czech Road Society (Ceska silnicni spolecnost)
  • ISSN: 0322-7154

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Crashes; Forecasting; High risk locations; Highway transportation; Mathematical models; Methodology
• Geographic Terms: Czech Republic
• ITRD Terms: 1643: Accident; 1663: Accident black spot; 8158: Czech Republic; 132: Forecast; 6473: Mathematical model; 9102: Method; 1142: Road transport
• Subject Areas: I70: Traffic and Transport; I80: Accident Studies;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01519495
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Centre (CDV)
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Mar 25 2014 2:26PM