Identifying peer states for transportation policy analysis with an application to New York's handheld cell phone ban
There has been a significant amount of research in the transportation area on the development of strategies that allow good comparisons between states, such that policy analysis are allowed to be carried out and informative policy-oriented questions are allowed to be answered. In this article, the use of Synthetic Control Methods (SCM) is proposed to overcome several identification problems present in previous studies when constructing comparison groups/counterfactuals. The SCM is used to analyse the effect of New York state's law prohibiting handheld cell phone use while driving on fatality rates. Results show that (i) a synthetic ‘peer state’ for NY when evaluating this specific policy is composed of a convex combination of the states of IL, MA and TX and (ii) that imposing the ban led to a decrease of about 9% in fatality rates.
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/23249935
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Supplemental Notes:
- Abstract reprinted with permission of Taylor & Francis.
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Authors:
- Sampaio, Breno
- Publication Date: 2014-1
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Web
- Features: References;
- Pagination: pp 1-14
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Serial:
- Transportmetrica A: Transport Science
- Volume: 10
- Issue Number: 1
- Publisher: Taylor & Francis
- ISSN: 2324-9935
- EISSN: 2324-9943
- Serial URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ttra21
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Cellular telephones; Crash rates; Fatalities; Policy analysis; Policy, legislation and regulation; Transportation policy
- Candidate Terms: Handheld devices
- Geographic Terms: Illinois; Massachusetts; New York (State); Texas
- Subject Areas: Highways; Law; Policy; Safety and Human Factors; I10: Economics and Administration; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01519663
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Mar 26 2014 10:07AM