Impact of Proposed Land Use and Transportation Investments on Future Travel Patterns in California

This study investigated the potential changes in transportation patterns in California associated with the development of smart growth–inspired transportation and land use policies through the application of the California Statewide Travel Demand Model (CSTDM). California’s SB (Senate Bill) 375 requires the state’s metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) to develop sustainable community strategies (SCS) in their regional transportation plans (RTPs) in an effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, among other environmental goals, through the integration of land use and transportation planning. Although some SCS were still under development at the time this study was conducted, some concerns had already been raised about whether these proposed policies would be able to achieve the proposed environmental targets. In this study, future transportation demand in California in 2035 was simulated through the application of the CSTDM and the simulation of policy scenarios inspired by the SCS developed before February 2014 by local MPOs. The study provides insights into how proposed land use changes and planned transportation investments would affect both regional and interregional mobility patterns in California. The expected impacts of the proposed policies were compared with a more conservative control scenario based on the previous RTPs developed by MPOs before the introduction of the SCS. Reductions of vehicle miles traveled per capita were predicted for all regions that had developed SCS, with greater reductions in larger metropolitan areas.

• Record URL:
  • https://doi.org/10.3141/2430-22
• Summary URL:
  • http://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=Impact+of+Proposed+Land+Use+and+Transportation+Investments+on+Future+Travel+Patterns+in+California&author=A.+McFadden&author=G.+Circella&author=B.+Haydu&author=N.+Linesch&publication_year=2014
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309295185
• Authors:
  • McFadden, Andrew
  • Circella, Giovanni
  • Haydu, Brandon
  • Linesch, Nicholas
• Publication Date: 2014

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 207–215
• Monograph Title: Travel Demand Forecasting 2014, Volume 2
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
  • Issue Number: 2430
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Environmental impacts; Land use; Metropolitan planning organizations; Regional transportation; Simulation; Sustainable development; Transportation planning; Travel demand; Travel patterns; Vehicle miles of travel
• Identifier Terms: California Statewide Travel Demand Modeling
• Geographic Terms: California
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01518929
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 9780309295185
• Report/Paper Numbers: 14-4821
• Files: PRP, TRIS, TRB, ATRI
• Created Date: Mar 21 2014 11:27AM