A Container Port Choice Model for Pearl River Delta Region in South China

During the past decades, the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region in South China has seen the busiest container traffic in the world. The dynamics of container routing via different ports have been changing significantly in the past decades. Quantification of the effects and the dynamics of different determinants in port choice behavior are important to the improvement of the service level of individual ports, the assessment of potential logistic infrastructure, and the overall improvement of logistic network in the whole region. In this paper, a container port choice model in the Pearl River Delta region was established. Three main port choice determinants were considered. With the established port choice model, future market share of different ports in the region is forecasted. Furthermore, the effect of the Hong Kong – Zhuhai – Macau Bridge, which will commence operation in 2016 was also evaluated in the port choice model. On the contrary to general belief, it was found that the bridge will not help Hong Kong Port to obtain more containerized cargo from west PRD region because the additional trucking route on the bridge will not significantly reduce the general cost of Hong Kong Port.

• Record URL:
  • https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.08.209
• Record URL:
  • http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877042813023355
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/18770428
• Supplemental Notes:
  • © 2013 Yongzhong Wu and Cui Peng
• Authors:
  • Wu, Yongzhong
  • Peng, Cui
• Conference:
  • 13th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals (CICTP 2013)
  • Location: Shenzhen , China
  • Date: 2013-8-13 to 2013-8-16
• Publication Date: 2013-11-6

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; Maps; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 1839-1852
• Serial:
  • Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
  • Volume: 96
  • Issue Number: 0
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 1877-0428
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/18770428/53
• Publication flags:

  Open Access (libre)

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Choice models; Container traffic; Forecasting; Infrastructure; Logistics; Market share; Ports
• Identifier Terms: Port of Hong Kong
• Geographic Terms: China; Pearl River Delta
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01504274
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jan 24 2014 2:29PM