Development of P-TRANE: GIS-Based Model of Bus Transit Network Evolution

This paper describes the development and the main components of a simulation framework aimed to model the bus transit network evolution. The prediction model of transit network evolution (P-TRANE) is a geographic information system (GIS)-based model that develops future predictions of service changes in the bus transit spatial network and service functionality at future time steps. These changes happen as a result of the periodic service review process and are influenced by a group of variables, including the changes in the future transit ridership pattern and future land use distribution changes. The main objective for P-TRANE is to function as a transit supply prediction component for the transportation/land use modeling simulation frameworks, such as the integrated land use, transportation, and environment (ILUTE), by generating the future bus network (supply) information for ILUTE. However, P-TRANE could be an aid to transit agencies and urban planners by means of providing a decision support system prediction tool. Preliminary model results on the case study of the Toronto Transit Commission bus network show that it is successful in identifying transit routes prone to frequency changes (poor performance and/or overcrowding). Furthermore, results show that the P-TRANE GIS module is a promising tool capable of proposing new bus lines, including feeder lines serving rapid transit projects/stations.

• Record URL:
  • https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000166
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/07339488
• Supplemental Notes:
  • © 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
• Authors:
  • Mohammed, Amr
  • Shalaby, Amer
  • Miller, Eric J
• Publication Date: 2014-3

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Web
• Features: References;
• Pagination: 04013004
• Serial:
  • Journal of Urban Planning and Development
  • Volume: 140
  • Issue Number: 1
  • Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
  • ISSN: 0733-9488
  • EISSN: 1943-5444
  • Serial URL: http://ascelibrary.org/journal/jupddm

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Bus lines; Bus transit; Case studies; Decision support systems; Geographic information systems; Land use planning; Mathematical prediction; Networks; Simulation
• Identifier Terms: Toronto Transit Commission
• Geographic Terms: Toronto (Canada)
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01504947
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, ASCE
• Created Date: Jan 27 2014 10:45AM