FORECASTING IMPACTS OF TRANSIT IMPROVEMENTS AND FRINGE PARKING DEVELOPMENTS ON DOWNTOWN PARKING NEEDS

THE CHANGING ECONOMIC ROLE OF MOST DOWNTOWN AREAS, WITH EMPLOYMENT BECOMING THE MAJOR GROWTH FACTOR, HAS RESULTED IN A RAPID RISE IN PEAK-PERIOD AUTOMOBILE TRIPS AND ALL-DAY PARKING DEMANDS AND A LOWER GROWTH RATE FOR SHORT-TERM (UNDER 3 HOURS) PARKING. FEW CBD CORE AREAS CAN ACCOMMODATE ALL CURRENT PARKING DEMANDS OR THE EXPECTED HIGHER DEMANDS OF THE NEXT DECADE. THIS PAPER REVIEWS TECHNIQUES USED IN A RECENT BALTIMORE STUDY TO FORECAST THE NUMBER OF LONG-TERM CBD WORK-TRIP PARKERS WHO CAN BE DIVERTED TO A PLANNED NEW RAPID TRANSIT SYSTEM AND TO CBD FRINGE AND OUTLYING LOCATIONS CAN REDUCE THE CORE-AREA DEFICIT TO 10,900 SPACES. ALSO, IF THE RAPID TRANSIT SYSTEM IS OPERATIONAL IN 1985, MOST CBD SECTORS WILL HAVE SURPLUS PARKING SPACE. THE CORE AREA WILL NEED ONLY 4,500 MORE SPACES. THESE NEEDS CAN BE MET BY RECOMMENDED 1975-1985 CBD PARKING PROGRAMS. THIS PAPER EXPLAINS THE PARKING DEMAND FORECASTING MODEL AND SUGGESTS METHODS FOR FUTURE REFINEMENT OF THE MODEL. /AUTHOR/

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/hrr/1972/395/395-005.pdf
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Sponsored by Committee on Parking and Terminals. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Walker Jr, E L
  • Cummings, John J
• Conference:
  • 51st Annual Meeting of the Highway Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia, United States
  • Date: 1972-1-17 to 1972-1-21
• Publication Date: 1972

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 37-46
• Monograph Title: Parking allocation techniques
• Serial:
  • Highway Research Record
  • Issue Number: 395
  • Publisher: Highway Research Board

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Central business districts; Forecasting; Fringe parking; Length; Park and ride; Parking; Parking demand; Parking duration; Peak hour traffic; Rapid transit; Travel; Work trips
• Uncontrolled Terms: Trip
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00226433
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Feb 23 1973 12:00AM