A NOTE ON THE CHANGING SPATIAL PATTERN OF TRAFFIC FLOW ON A MAJOR TRANSPORTATION FACILITY: HIGHWAY 401, ONTARIO

THIS PAPER DEMONSTRATES THE USE OF A SIMPLE STATISTICAL FORECASTING METHODOLOGY AND APPLIES IT TO THE ANALYSIS OF CHANGING TRAFFIC FLOW PATTERNS ON HIGHWAY 401 IN ONTARIO. A TRAFFIC FLOW DISTANCE RELATIONSHIP IS POSTULATED AND LEAST SQUARES CURVES ARE OBTAINED. THE RESIDUALS FROM THESE CURVES ARE DISCUSSED IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY COMPONENTS OF THE SPATIAL PATTERN WHICH ARE NOT INCORPORATED INTO THE SIMPLE TREND RELATIONSHIP. A SIMPLE FORECASTING MODEL IS ADVANCED IN WHICH THE PARAMETERS OF THE STATIC RELATIONSHIPS BECOME LINEAR FUNCTIONS OF TIME. LIMITATIONS OF THE PROCEDURES AND POSSIBLE EXTENSIONS ARE IDENTIFIED. /RATAOC/

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Rp No. 39, 21 PP, 6 FIG, 2 TAB, 6 REF
• Corporate Authors:

  University of Toronto

  Department of Geography, 100 St George Street
  Toronto, Ontario  Canada  M5S 3G3
• Authors:
  • Mackinnon, R D
• Publication Date: 0

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Distance; Forecasting; Least squares method; Mathematical models; Statistical analysis; Traffic flow
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00227046
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Roads & Transportation Assoc /Canada
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Aug 3 1972 12:00AM