TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING - TIRES

PLANNING IS AN ESSENTIAL PART OF ANY PRODUCTIVE INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITY. SINCE THE PLAN MUST ACCOMMODATE SOME FUTURE STATE OF AFFAIRS, MEANS TO ASSESS THEM ARE REQUIRED. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING PROVIDES SUCH A MEANS. THE SEVERAL FORMS OF TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING ARE APPLICABLE TO MANY FIELDS. HOW THEY ARE USED IN PLANNING SEVERAL PHASES OF TIRE TECHNOLOGY ARE ILLUSTRATED. THE THREE MAIN FORMS OF TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING EXEMPLIFIED ARE: EXPLORATORY FORECASTING WHICH EXTRAPOLATES HISTORY, NORMATIVE FORECASTING WHICH WORKS BACKWARD FROM SOME IMAGINED FUTURE TO PREDICT NEEDED TECHNOLOGY, AND INTUITIVE FORECASTING IN WHICH AN ENTIRE CULTURAL SITUATION LONG IN THE FUTURE IS IMAGINED IN A QUALITATIVE WAY MUCH LIKE SCIENCE FICTION. USE OF THESE TECHNIQUES WITH TIRE TECHNOLOGY IS PARTICULARLY EFFECTIVE BECAUSE THE ENTIRE TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY HAS BEEN WELL DOCUMENTED AND RESEARCHED. FORTUNATELY MANY OTHER FINISHED PRODUCTS AND TO A CERTAIN EXTENT CHEMICALS HAVE SIMILARLY WELL-DEVELOPED DATA BASES. /AUTHOR/

• Corporate Authors:

  Chemical Technology

  ,    
• Authors:
  • Kovac, F J
• Publication Date: 1971-1

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Chemicals; Forecasting; Industries; Planning; Technology; Tires; Transportation planning
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Safety and Human Factors; Vehicles and Equipment;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00223421
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: pp 18-23
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 25 1971 12:00AM