CONTROL OF THE NEGLIGENT DRIVER - PART III

THE DRIVING RECORD OF 4,034 NEGLIGENT DRIVERS WERE ANALYZED FOR A SIX YEAR PERIOD. DESCRIPTIVE VARIABLES WERE ALSO ANALYZED TO ARRIVE AT A PROFILE OF THE DRIVERS WHO REMAINED NEGLIGENT DRIVERS. THE HARDCORE NEGLIGENT DRIVER DOES NOT IMPROVE HIS DRIVING RECORD TO ANY APPRECIABLE DEGREE IN SPITE OF REPEATED DRIVER IMPROVEMENT CONTACTS. THE DRIVING RECORD OF THE OTHER NEGLIGENT DRIVERS IMPROVED OVER THE YEARS, BUT THE MAJORITY OF THESE DRIVERS DID NOT IMPROVE THEIR DRIVING RECORD TO THE POINT WHERE THEY COULD BE CALLED AN AVERAGE DRIVER. NO SIGNIFICANT DESCRIPTIVE DIFFERENCES APPEARED BETWEEN NEGLIGENT DRIVERS WHO REMAINED NEGLIGENT AND THOSE DRIVERS NO LONGER CLASSIFIED AS SUCH. NEGLIGENT DRIVERS WITH A MORE SEVERE PRIOR RECORD TENDED TO COMPILE A WORSE THAN AVERAGE DRIVING RECORD DURING THE SIX YEARS AFTER THE ORIGINAL ACTION. THESE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES CAN BE USED AS PREDICTORS OF THE FUTURE DRIVING BEHAVIOR OF NEGLIGENT DRIVERS. THE POSSIBILITY IS SUGGESTED OF USING A REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODEL TO MAXIMIZE THE PREDICTABILITY OF FUTURE DRIVING BEHAVIOR AND HAVE USEFULNESS IN THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS AS TO THE TYPE OF ACTION MOST BENEFICIAL IN PRODUCING IMPROVED DRIVING PERFORMANCE.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Rept No 25, 23 PP, 8 FIG, 6 TAB, 9 REF
• Corporate Authors:

  California Department of Motor Vehicles

  P.O. Box 11828, 2415 1st Avenue
  Sacramento, CA  United States  95813
• Authors:
  • COPPIN, R S
  • Van, OLDENBECK G
• Publication Date: 1966-6

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Behavior; Decision making; Driver improvement programs; Driver performance; Drivers; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Negligence; Personnel performance; Records management; Regression analysis
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models; Records
• Old TRIS Terms: Driver improvement effort
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Finance; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Security and Emergencies;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00222668
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, STATEDOT
• Created Date: Aug 11 1994 12:00AM