An Entropy (Shannon) Based Traffic Safety Level Determination Approach for Black Spots

Black Spots are one of the crucial subjects in traffic safety. Determination of black spots and their safety levels would be useful for prevention of future traffic accidents. But it is not an easy task. Many parameters have considerable effects on the phenomenon. On the other hand, safety level determination has uncertainty. Therefore deterministic approaches are incapable in classification. This study deals with determination of black spots’ safety levels using Shannon Entropy Approach considering accident types and effective factors on accident occurrence. Geometrical and physical conditions, traffic volumes, average speeds and average accident rates at around black spots are considered as effective factors on occurrence of accidents. Entropy values are calculated using these parameters. Safety levels are classified as five groups based on calculated entropy values. Traffic accident data for three years (2004-2006) are used in development and testing the model. Validation of entropy approach is tested by Chi-Square and truth value methods, and encouraging results are obtained.

• Record URL:
  • http://pdn.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=MiamiImageURL&_cid=277811&_user=10&_pii=S1877042811014674&_check=y&_origin=article&_zone=toolbar&_coverDate=31-Dec-2011&view=c&originContentFamily=serial&wchp=dGLbVlk-zSkWA&md5=c138d07f6e1e0dee8eceae480f8c0d0d/1-s2.0-S1877042811014674-main.pdf
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• Summary URL:
  • http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877042811014674
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/18770428
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Abstract reprinted with permission from Elsevier.
• Authors:
  • Murata, Yetis Sazi
• Publication Date: 2011

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 786-795
• Monograph Title: The State of the Art in the European Quantitative Oriented Transportation and Logistics Research. 14th European Working Group on Transportation; 26th Mini Euro Conference, and 1st European Scientific Conference on Air Transport
• Serial:
  • Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
  • Volume: 20
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 1877-0428
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/18770428/53
• Publication flags:

  Open Access (libre)

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Black ice; Chi square test; Crash data; Crash rates; Entropy (Statistical mechanics); Traffic crashes; Traffic safety
• Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I80: Accident Studies;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01365346
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 20 2012 12:16PM