Analysis of Factors that Influence Hazardous Material Transportation Accidents Based on Bayesian Networks: A Case Study in China
In this study, we applied Bayesian networks to prioritize the factors that influence hazardous material (Hazmat) transportation accidents. The Bayesian network structure was built based on expert knowledge using Dempster–Shafer evidence theory, and the structure was modified based on a test for conditional independence. We collected and analyzed 94 cases of Chinese Hazmat transportation accidents to compute the posterior probability of each factor using the expectation–maximization learning algorithm. We found that the three most influential factors in Hazmat transportation accidents were human factors, the transport vehicle and facilities, and packing and loading of the Hazmat. These findings provide an empirically supported theoretical basis for Hazmat transportation corporations to take corrective and preventative measures to reduce the risk of accidents.
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/09257535
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Supplemental Notes:
- Abstract reprinted with permission of Elsevier. From a special issue: First International Symposium on Mine Safety Science and Engineering 2011
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Authors:
- Zhao, Laijun
- Wang, Xulei
- Qian, Ying
- Publication Date: 2012-4
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Print
- Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: pp 1049-1055
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Serial:
- Safety Science
- Volume: 50
- Issue Number: 4
- Publisher: Elsevier
- ISSN: 0925-7535
- Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09257535
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Algorithms; Crashes; Hazardous materials; Highway safety; Human factors; Prevention; Probability; Transportation
- Uncontrolled Terms: Bayesian networks
- Geographic Terms: China
- Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I80: Accident Studies; I81: Accident Statistics;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01365504
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Mar 20 2012 12:18PM