Uncertainty in Travel Demand Forecasting Models: Literature Review and Research Agenda

Reasoning why uncertainty analysis will become important in years to come, this paper reviews prior work on uncertainty analysis in travel demand forecasting. Different sources of uncertainty are discussed. Studies examining these various sources of uncertainty are summarized, differentiating between four step models, discrete choice models and activity-based models of travel demand. Next, gaps in the literature and avenues of future research are systematically discussed, with a special focus on complex activity-based models. The paper is completed with some concluding comments.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/19427867
• Authors:
  • Rasouli, Soora
  • Timmermans, Harry
• Publication Date: 2012-1

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Illustrations; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 55-73
• Serial:
  • Transportation Letters: The International Journal of Transportation Research
  • Volume: 4
  • Issue Number: 1
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis
  • ISSN: 1942-7867
  • EISSN: 1942-7875
  • Serial URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/toc/ytrl20/current

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Activity choices; Choice models; Literature reviews; Traffic forecasting; Travel demand; Uncertainty
• Uncontrolled Terms: Transportation forecasting models
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01366155
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 27 2012 11:11AM