Market Potential for Electric Vehicles from a Travel Behavior Perspective
Electromobility is an important topic for the German automotive industry and therefore there is an ongoing discussion about the market potential of today’s electric vehicles, given their still very limited cruising range compared to fuel driven vehicles. In this paper, one of the large national travel behavior surveys in Germany, the German Mobility Panel, is used to analyze how many vehicles could be replaced by electric vehicles without any restrictions for their users. The survey provides day-to-day mobility behavior for one week of about 1000 households every year. Additionally, fuel consumption and mileage of the vehicles in the sample are reported for eight weeks. To filter which vehicles could be replaced by electric vehicles, a set of conditions on the reported daily, weekly and two-monthly mileage is defined. About seven percent of the total fleet is selected by these conditions. Then the household context for these vehicles is analyzed. One of the results is that about half of the selected vehicles is owned by retired persons which makes it doubtful that this portion of the potential can easily be utilized.
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Supplemental Notes:
- This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB10 Traveler Behavior and Values
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Corporate Authors:
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Authors:
- Chlond, Bastian
- Kagerbauer, Martin
- Vortisch, Peter
- Wirges, Johannes
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Conference:
- Transportation Research Board 91st Annual Meeting
- Location: Washington DC, United States
- Date: 2012-1-22 to 2012-1-26
- Date: 2012
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Features: Figures; References;
- Pagination: 12p
- Monograph Title: TRB 91st Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers DVD
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Electric vehicles; Market assessment; Market development; Mobility; Travel behavior; Travel surveys
- Geographic Terms: Germany
- Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Energy; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities; I10: Economics and Administration; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I90: Vehicles;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01372966
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: 12-3306
- Files: TRIS, TRB
- Created Date: Jun 15 2012 4:04PM