DRINKING DRIVER AND TRAFFIC SAFETY PROJECT. VOLUME II PROBABILITIES FOR DRINKING DRIVERS

THE SECOND VOLUME OF THE FINAL REPORT ON A FOUR-YEAR STUDY OF DRINKING DRIVERS INCLUDES A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF A PREDICTION MODEL DEVELOPED FROM OVER 4000 CASES, INCLUDING DRINKING DRIVERS, RECIDIVIST DRINKING DRIVERS AND DRIVERS LICENSE APPLICANTS WHO HAD NEVER BEEN CONVICTED OF DRUNK DRIVING. TABLES OF PROBABILITIES OF BEING A DRUNK DRIVER (AS OPPOSED TO NOT BEING A DRUNK DRIVER) AND OF BEING A RECIDIVIST DRUNK DRIVER (AS OPPOSED TO A ONE-TIME DRUNK DRIVER) ARE PRESENTED. THE FIVE VARIABLES USED IN THE PREDICTION MODEL ARE; EDUCATION, TOTAL NUMBER OF MINOR TRAFFIC VIOLATIONS, AGE, NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS, AND TOTAL NUMBER OF NON-TRAFFIC ARRESTS. THE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH ALL POSSIBLE COMBINATIONS OF CHARACTERISTICS ON THESE FIVE VARIABLES ARE PRESENTED, ALONG WITH A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF HOW THEY MIGHT BE USED AS AIDS TO ADMINISTRATIVE OR JUDICIAL DECISIONS. /AUTHOR/

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• Record URL:
  • https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/1082
• Supplemental Notes:
  • EPA-R2-72-091
• Corporate Authors:

  University of Southern California, Los Angeles

  Los Angeles, CA  United States  90089

  Public Systems Research Inst

  ,    
• Authors:
  • MCEACHERN, A W
• Publication Date: 1972-5

Media Info

• Pagination: 117 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Age; Alcoholism; Drivers; Drunk driving; Education; High risk drivers; Human characteristics
• Uncontrolled Terms: Driver characteristics; Violations
• Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00224447
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Files: NTL, TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 23 1974 12:00AM