FORECAST OF URBAN 40-FOOT COACH DEMAND 1972-1990

THIS STUDY PROVIDES AN ESTIMATE OF THE U.S. MARKET DEMAND FOR 40-FOOT TRANSIT COACHES, FROM 1972 THROUGH 1990. IT WAS CONDUCTED IN SUPPORT OF THE TRANSBUS PROJECT, DEVELOPMENT OF THE STANDARD-DESIGN TRANSIT COACH THAT WILL BE PRODUCED DURING THAT TIME PERIOD. THE DATA BASE FOR THE FORECAST IS THE 1972 NATIONAL BUS FLEET INVENTORY, WHICH INCLUDES APPROXIMATELY 95% OF U.S. TRANSIT COACHES IN MAJOR URBAN AREAS. AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE FLEET, ASSUMED SERVICE LIFE, DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS AND PUBLIC POLICY WERE USED IN CALCULATING THE PROBABLE ANNUAL REPLACEMENT RATE. THE ANNUAL REPLACEMENT FORECAST RANGES FROM 3,400 UNITS IN THE EARLIER FORECAST YEARS TO 4,800 BY 1990.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • GRANT DOT-UT-10008 UMTA-IT-06-0025-72-1
• Corporate Authors:

  Booz-Allen Applied Research, Incorporated

  4733 Bethesda Avenue
  Bethesda, MD  United States  20014
• Publication Date: 1972-12

Media Info

• Pagination: 48 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Buses; Data collection; Demand; Equipment replacement; Forecasting; Inventory; Market research; Surveys
• Uncontrolled Terms: Replacement
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Highways; Maintenance and Preservation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00223949
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Urban Mass Transportation Administration
• Report/Paper Numbers: Final Rpt
• Files: TRIS, USDOT
• Created Date: Jun 5 1974 12:00AM