A MODEL FOR FORECASTING TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS IN A COST-BENEFIT STUDY

AS PART OF ECONOMIC STUDIES CONCERNING THE PLANS FOR THE CONSTRUCTION OF 150 MILES OF MOTORWAY IN JUTLAND, DENMARK, A MODEL FOR FORECASTING DIFFERENCES IN TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS FOR CERTAIN CONSTRUCTION STAGES WAS DEVELOPED. BY WAY OF REGRESSION TECHNIQUES MODELS FOR THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN ACCIDENTS, HIGHWAY MILEAGE, CROSS SECTIONS, TRAFFIC FLOW AND DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE ROAD WERE SET UP. FURTHERMORE, IT WAS CHECKED BY WAY OF VARIANCE RATIO TESTS (F-TESTS) WHETHER SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE RELATIONSHIPS EXIST BETWEEN DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. /AUTHOR/

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Rept 2, 19 PP
• Corporate Authors:

  Danish Council of Road Safety Research

  1 Anker Engelundsvej, Building 117
  DK-2808 Lyngby,   Denmark 
• Authors:
  • Jorgensen, N O
• Publication Date: 1969

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Benefit cost analysis; Cross sections; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Regression analysis; Road construction; Traffic crashes; Traffic flow
• Uncontrolled Terms: Mileage; Models
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00220650
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jan 5 1970 12:00AM