Potenziale der Nordostpassage / Northeast passage outlook potential until 2050

Trotz zahlreicher Forschungsvorhaben fehlen detaillierte und aktuelle Aussagen zum kuenftigen Nutzungspotenzial der Nordostpassage, das sich aus den globalen Handelsstroemen ergeben koennte. Die Forschungsarbeit "Potenziale der Nordostpassage bis 2050" hatte zum Ziel, zukuenftige Entwicklungsmoeglichkeiten dieser Meeresstrasse als Alternative zu den bestehenden Transitrouten einzuschaetzen und das potenzielle Transportaufkommen fuer Transitrelationen auf der Nordostpassage zu quantifizieren. Im Ergebnis zeigte sich, dass die Nordostpassage grundsaetzlich grosses Potenzial besitzt (fuer das Jahr 2050 wurden maximaltheoretische Potenziale in Hoehe von 430 Millionen Tonnen ermittelt), die Rahmenbedingungen zur Befahrung des Seewegs in groesserem Stil jedoch noch nicht den Anforderungen gerecht werden. ABSTRACT IN ENGLISH: In spite of extensive research, no detailed and up-to-date facts are at hand with regard to the potential benefits arising from the use of the Northeast Passage, which could be assessed by reference to existing global trade routes. The research project "Potential Benefits of the Northeast Passage until 2050" - whose main findings are summarized in this report - is intended to help close this gap to some extent. The main purpose of this research project was to ascertain this waterway's chances of future development as an alternative to the existing transit routes and to quantify the potential volume of traffic along the transit routes of the Northeast Passage. The outcome has shown that the current conditions for the use of this waterway on any large scale do not yet meet the requirements of the prospective clientele. The waterway's potential benefits, as assessed in this research project, do show evidence that the traffic potential looks favourable and may reach 430 million tons by 2050. (A)

• Authors:
  • LEYPOLDT, P
• Publication Date: 2010

Language

• German

Media Info

• Pagination: 35-7
• Serial:
  • INTERNATIONALES VERKEHRSWESEN
  • Volume: 62
  • Issue Number: 6

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Alternatives analysis; Bridges; Economic efficiency; Fixed routes; Freight transportation; Itinerary; Trade; Trend (Statistics); Water transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Selection
• ITRD Terms: 9000: Alternativ; ARKTIS; 9072: Auswahl; 1112: Gütertransport; 330: Handel; 3363: Ortsfeste Verkehrsverbindung (transmaritim); 699: Reiseweg; 1198: Seetransport; 6515: Trend (stat); 237: Wirtschaftlichkeit
• Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; I21: Planning of Transport Infrastructure; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01323547
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen (BASt)
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Dec 22 2010 9:08AM