Gravity Models for Airline Passenger Volume Estimation

This paper presents two gravity models for the estimation of air passenger volume between city-pairs. The models include variables describing the general economic activity and geographical characteristics of city-pairs instead of variables describing air service characteristics. Thus, both models can be applied to city-pairs where currently no air service is established, historical data is not available, or for which factors describing the current service level of air transportation are not accessible or accurately predictable. One model is limited to city-pairs with airports not subject to competition from airports in the vicinity, while the other model includes all city-pairs. Booking data of flights between Germany and 28 European countries is used for calibration. Both models show a good fit to the observed data and are statistically tested and validated.

• Record URL:
  http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VGP-4NHV6WN-1/2/d447a8634a8982713fbd427936320dc7
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/31005945
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Abstract reprinted with permission from Elsevier.
• Authors:
  • Grosche, Tobias
  • Rothlauf, Franz
  • Heinzl, Armin
• Publication Date: 2007-7

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 175-183
• Serial:
  • Journal of Air Transport Management
  • Volume: 13
  • Issue Number: 4
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 0969-6997
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09696997

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air transportation; Air travel; Airlines; Airports; City pairs; Forecasting; Gravity models; Passenger volume; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: Europe; Germany
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Passenger Transportation; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01055168
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Aug 23 2007 10:40AM