FORECASTING PARATRANSIT RIDERSHIP USING DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS WITH EXPLICIT CONSIDERATION OF AVAILABILITY
In most developed countries, the population of the elderly and disabled is growing rapidly. These individuals require transportation service suited to their needs. Such service may be provided by applying emerging technologies to dial-a-ride transit. This research develops a methodology to quantitatively evaluate the impact of paratransit services on a traveler's mode choice behavior. The mode choice model explicitly considers availability of alternative modes and includes latent factors to account for taste heterogeneity. Stated preferences are also used to elicit preferences for new paratransit services. The methodology is empirically tested with data collected in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. The model system developed is applied to evaluate the effect of improving service attributes and the impact of the introduction of new cost-effective modes on modal shares. Results of the policy analysis indicate that (a) transit policy changes, such as fare reduction, would have little effect on automobile driver and automobile passenger shares; (b) an improved reservation system for dial-a-ride services would produce shifts in mode share; (c) the proposed new bus deviation service was favored; (d) free bus service reduces dial-a-ride share; and (e) an increase in awareness of a dial-a-ride system would significantly increase its share.
- Record URL:
- Summary URL:
-
Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309064643
-
Supplemental Notes:
- This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1618, Transit: Planning, Management, Marketing, New Technology, Capacity, and Quality of Service.
-
Corporate Authors:
500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC United States 20001 -
Authors:
- Benjamin, J
- Kurauchi, S
- Morikawa, T
- Polydoropoulou, A
- Sasaki, K
- Ben-Akiva, Moshe
- Publication Date: 1998
Language
- English
Media Info
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: p. 60-65
-
Serial:
- Transportation Research Record
- Issue Number: 1618
- Publisher: Transportation Research Board
- ISSN: 0361-1981
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Aged; Choice models; Forecasting; Market share; Mode choice; Paratransit services; Persons with disabilities; Policy analysis; Ridership; Supply
- Uncontrolled Terms: Availability; Discrete choice models
- Geographic Terms: Winston-Salem (North Carolina)
- Old TRIS Terms: Disabled people
- Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; Society;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00755067
- Record Type: Publication
- ISBN: 0309064643
- Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
- Created Date: Oct 14 1998 12:00AM