FINANCIAL CAPACITY ANALYSIS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA RAIL EXTENSION PROGRAM

The purpose of the Bay Area Transit Finance Plan was to determine the financial capacity of the region to fund a multioperator rail extension program into the next century. The 21 proposed rail extension projects were grouped into 5 alternative regional packages. The financial impacts of these alternatives were assessed against ongoing funding required to operate, maintain, and recapitalize the existing eight-operator regional transit system in the Bay Area. The cumulative financial position at the end of 10- and 20-year periods was calculated for each transit operator and the entire region from a microcomputer-based cash flow model. The cash flow model integrated annual operating costs and revenues, vehicle and facility replacement, rail extension capital costs, and projected funding from dedicated existing sources as well as proposed new revenue sources. It was determined that the region had the financial capacity to operate, maintain, and recapitalize its existing transit system. However, it was found that the region would experience a cumulative deficit of $1.1 billion at the end of 10 years if the regionally preferred rail extension program was implemented, unless additional revenues could be made available. A series of funding recommendations were proposed that were consistent with proposals being advanced at state and county levels and, if implemented, would eliminate the 10-year cumulative deficit. These proposals have subsequently either been enacted or are in the process of being enacted into law.

• Record URL:
  http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1990/1266/1266-007.pdf
• Record URL:
  https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=FINANCIAL+CAPACITY+ANALYSIS+OF+THE+SAN+FRANCISCO+BAY+AREA+RAIL+EXTENSION+PROGRAM&author=A.+Huerby&author=N.+Whelan&author=D.+Markham&publication_year=1990
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• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1266, Urban Public Transportation Research 1990. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Authors:
  • Huerby, Albert
  • Whelan, Nancy E
  • Markham, Dennis L
• Publication Date: 1990

Media Info

• Features: Figures; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 67-76
• Monograph Title: Urban public transportation research
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 1266
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Alternatives analysis; Cash flow; Finance; Financing; Recommendations
• Identifier Terms: San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit District
• Uncontrolled Terms: Extension
• Old TRIS Terms: Financial requirements
• Subject Areas: Finance; Highways; Public Transportation; Research;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00602746
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309050189
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Dec 31 1990 12:00AM