MODELING AUTOMOBILE DEMAND AND DRIVER POPULATION IN PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES: SIMULTANEOUS-EQUATION ESTIMATION METHOD
Automobile demand has been extensively investigated because of its direct effects on many related fields, including travel behavior, public policy and management, and transportation impact analysis. A modeling framework is developed to estimate aggregate automobile demand using simultaneous-equation regression analysis. This modeling approach is used to estimate automobile demand and driver population in the Palestinian Territories, where major changes in the political, socioeconomic, and infrastructure systems are currently under way. The developed model captures a number of relevant socioeconomic and political variables believed to affect automobile ownership in the Palestinian Territories. The findings suggest that there is a strong interrelationship and simultaneity between automobile ownership and the population of drivers. Relevant tests are applied to examine the econometric specifications of the presented models, which indicate that income, price, demographic, and employment variables are considered significant in the simultaneous-equation model. The model can be used as a basis for forecasting automobile demand.
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309072131
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Supplemental Notes:
- This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1752, Travel Patterns and Behavior; Effects of Communications Technology.
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Corporate Authors:
500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC United States 20001 -
Authors:
- Abu-Eisheh, S A
- Publication Date: 2001
Language
- English
Media Info
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: p. 108-116
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Serial:
- Transportation Research Record
- Issue Number: 1752
- Publisher: Transportation Research Board
- ISSN: 0361-1981
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Automobiles; Demand; Demographics; Drivers; Econometrics; Employment; Forecasting; Income; Political factors; Prices; Regression analysis; Simultaneous equations; Socioeconomic factors
- Geographic Terms: Palestine
- Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Economics; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00818744
- Record Type: Publication
- ISBN: 0309072131
- Files: TRIS, TRB
- Created Date: Oct 2 2001 12:00AM