INTEGRATING PEDESTRIAN AND BICYCLE FACTORS INTO REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING MODELS: SUMMARY OF THE STATE-OF-THE-ART AND SUGGESTED STEPS FORWARD

This paper reviews typical techniques in use today for estimating the travel behavior effects of bicycle and pedestrian facilities and programs and other factors that influence use of non-motorized travel modes and offers suggestions for near-term advances in the state-of-the-art and state-of-the-practice. The principle approaches that have been used to evaluate the effects of transportation policies and infrastructure on bicycle and pedestrian travel include regression analysis, market-share diversion analysis and discrete choice analysis. In practice, inadequacies of both data and modeling frameworks have led to less than satisfactory performance for all of these methods in the American metropolitan planning context. Problems in evaluating the travel behavior effects of factors influencing walking and bicycling are compounded when conventional emission factor models are used to evaluate some of these strategies. In the past several years, some analysts have worked to develop indicators of bicycle Level of Service, bicycle friendliness, bicycle stress level, bicycle suitability of streets and the like. However, little of this work has been integrated with regional travel demand model development. The author suggests that an immediate priority should be for the demonstration of advanced state-of-the-art travel models with substantially greater inclusion of pedestrian/bicycle travel factors, working in one or more regions where data and agency interest can support rapid and efficient progress. He recommends two specific and inter-related areas of work as immediate high priorities for research, development and demonstration funding: Advanced Regional Models Integrating Non-Motorized Modes and Factors; and Quick-Response Models Sensitive to Pedestrian and Bicycle Travel Factors. Elaboration of these models is given.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Features: References; Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 75-94
  • Monograph Title: URBAN DESIGN, TELECOMMUTING AND TRAVEL FORECASTING CONFERENCE. SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATIONS AND COMPENDIUM OF PAPERS

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00754928
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: DOT-T-98-2,, FHWA-PD-98-027
  • Files: TRIS, USDOT
  • Created Date: Oct 26 1998 12:00AM