SYNTHESIS OF PAST ACTIVITY ANALYSIS APPLICATIONS
This review describes the emergence of the central ideas within the activity analysis paradigm and their application to travel forecasting. We posit that three interconnected processes of "ideas applications" form the basis of scientific development. The first is conceptualization and theory building. The second is empirical tests and applications: here, we make a distinction between those in which activity patterns are considered as segmentation variables in travel models, and those in which travel is incorporated into activity patterns. The third process is the self-conscious evaluation of the interplay between theory and application: we call this last the "reflexive nexus". We provide examples of studies which demonstrate these processes; most studies emphasize one over the others. This framework places the pathways toward implementing activity-based travel demand forecasting into more of a cyclical, and less of a linear, historical context. One example is given of how all three processes have contributed to a particular model of activity scheduling. We conclude that activity analysis continues to develop within waxing and waning periods of inductive theory construction and deductive theory testing. Extending activity analysis to the realm of travel forecasting should provide intellectually more satisfying forecasting tools and lead to improved theory.
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Supplemental Notes:
- This report is distributed in cooperation with the Technology Sharing Program, Research and Special Programs Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, DC 20590.
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Corporate Authors:
Texas Transportation Institute
Texas A&M University System, 1600 E Lamar Boulevard
Arlington, TX United States 76011 -
Authors:
- KURANI, K S
- LEE-GOSSELIN, MEH
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Conference:
- Activity-Based Travel Forecasting Conference
- Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
- Date: 1996-6-2 to 1996-6-5
- Publication Date: 1997-2
Language
- English
Media Info
- Features: References;
- Pagination: p. 51-77
- Monograph Title: ACTIVITY-BASED TRAVEL FORECASTING CONFERENCE, NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA, JUNE 2-5, 1996. SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND COMPENDIUM OF PAPERS
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Applications; Forecasting; Travel
- Old TRIS Terms: Activity analysis
- Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Research; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00750010
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Jun 18 1998 12:00AM