Agglomeration and Diversification: Bilevel Analysis of 15-Year Impacts of Madrid-Seville High-Speed Rail

This paper studies the impacts of Madrid-Seville High-Speed Rail (HSR) on population growth and land cover change in the five HSR connected cities - Madrid, Ciudad Real, Puertollano, Cordoba, and Seville - at both regional and local level. The analysis period ranges from 1991 to 2006. The study finds that, at regional level, the population growth and land development process concentrate mostly towards the two largest cities, Madrid and Seville, while other smaller HSR served cities are also benefited by HSR. At local level, the impacts of HSR are more diverse. The process of population redistribution and land development in each city varies largely. Among all evidences, HSR contributes the most to Ciudad Real, with booming population increases and urban development. In addition, younger people are also attracted to reside in this area. To study the accessibility impacts of HSR on the development of new urban areas in each HSR city, binary probit models incorporating the change of accessibility, population, and neighborhood situations are adopted. The results suggest that, the land development in smaller cities can be majorly ascribed to the improvement of regional accessibility and population growth. However, to explain the urban development process in Madrid and Seville, the inputs with only accessibility and population are not sufficient.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADD30 Transportation and Land Development. Alternate title: Agglomeration and Diversification: Bi-Level Analysis of 15-Year’s Impacts of Madrid-Seville High-Speed Rail.
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

  500 Fifth Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Shen, Yu
  • Zhao, Jinhua
  • de Abreu e Silva, João
  • Martinez, Luis Miguel
• Conference:
  • Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting
  • Location: Washington DC, United States
  • Date: 2015-1-11 to 2015-1-15
• Date: 2015

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 29p
• Monograph Title: TRB 94th Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Accessibility; High speed rail; Impact studies; Land use; Population growth; Probits; Urban development
• Geographic Terms: Ciudad Real (Spain); Cordoba (Spain); Madrid (Spain); Puertollano (Spain); Seville (Spain)
• Subject Areas: Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01556823
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: 15-1885
• Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
• Created Date: Mar 12 2015 11:55AM